Are we in danger of a "little ice age"?

The website meteo.pl deals primarily with short-term forecasts rather than global climatology, but we will try to answer briefly:

The media report on the effects of significant climate warming - more intense tropical cyclones, heat waves, droughts or floods in various regions of the world - but we hardly ever learn about the causes behind these phenomena. Apart from tropical cyclones, which are fairly regular and located in a specific climate zone, it is the heat, droughts and floods that are caused by changes in, or characteristics of, atmospheric and oceanic circulation - the underlying causes of climate change. It should be mentioned that it is not only ocean currents that transport the energy absorbed by the Earth in the equatorial and subtropical zones towards the poles, the transfer of energy by latent heat (energy is absorbed on evaporation of water and given back when it condenses in a cloud) and the transfer by "normal" advection are equally important.

When analysing climate change on the basis of observations made regularly over the past 150 years, it should be remembered that the geological epochs of cooling and warming of the Earth's climate - the Miocene, Pliocene and Pleistocene - have lasted for 23 million years, while the warming in the current Holocene epoch is only less than 12 000 years old. It is like comparing a year to its last 4.6 hours, and in this calculation 150 years of observation has a measure of 210 seconds.

Studying climate is not just about checking the temperature, this element is the result of many processes - the circulation of the atmosphere and oceans, the phase changes of water, the formation of clouds and precipitation - as we constantly write about in our comments, showing by example how variable the atmosphere is.